Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000089 0.000105 0.000123 0.000142 0.000164 0.000188 0.000214
2025-01-26 0.000065 0.000085 0.000109 0.000137 0.000170 0.000207 0.000251
2025-02-02 0.000054 0.000077 0.000104 0.000138 0.000179 0.000226 0.000283
2025-02-09 0.000044 0.000068 0.000098 0.000137 0.000185 0.000241 0.000312
2025-02-16 0.000040 0.000065 0.000098 0.000142 0.000197 0.000264 0.000348
2025-02-23 0.000034 0.000060 0.000095 0.000143 0.000205 0.000281 0.000378
2025-03-02 0.000028 0.000053 0.000088 0.000138 0.000204 0.000286 0.000393
2025-03-09 0.000023 0.000048 0.000083 0.000135 0.000206 0.000295 0.000413
2025-03-16 0.000020 0.000044 0.000080 0.000135 0.000210 0.000306 0.000435
2025-03-23 0.000018 0.000041 0.000078 0.000136 0.000216 0.000321 0.000462
2025-03-30 0.000015 0.000038 0.000075 0.000134 0.000219 0.000330 0.000482
2025-04-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000071 0.000131 0.000219 0.000335 0.000496
2025-04-13 0.000011 0.000032 0.000071 0.000134 0.000228 0.000355 0.000532
2025-04-20 0.000008 0.000028 0.000065 0.000129 0.000226 0.000359 0.000546
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000026 0.000064 0.000130 0.000232 0.000374 0.000574
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000024 0.000061 0.000129 0.000235 0.000385 0.000598
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000023 0.000062 0.000134 0.000247 0.000407 0.000638
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000022 0.000061 0.000135 0.000254 0.000423 0.000668
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000019 0.000056 0.000130 0.000250 0.000424 0.000678
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000017 0.000053 0.000127 0.000251 0.000431 0.000697
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000015 0.000052 0.000127 0.000254 0.000442 0.000720
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000014 0.000051 0.000128 0.000260 0.000457 0.000750
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000013 0.000049 0.000127 0.000262 0.000466 0.000771